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Australia

Australia

Latest poll: 20 Oct 2026

Australia: according to the poll average, ALP leads with 31.4%, followed by Coalition (26.5%) and One Nation (15.7%). Updated 20.10.2026.

Australia: Federal election (primary vote)

Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below

Poll average: last 10 days

  • ALP 31.4%▲ 2.7
  • Coalition 26.5%▲ 2.7
  • One Nation 15.7%▼ 8.3
  • Greens 13.2%▼ 0.1

Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (11 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.

Poll trend

Individual polls (182)

DatePollsterSample ALP Coalition One Nation Greens
20 Oct 2026YouGov–24.0%23.0%27.0%14.0%
20 Oct 2026Freshwater1,53033.0%31.0%10.0%14.0%
19 Oct 2026Roy Morgan4,90835.0%27.0%12.0%13.0%
12 Oct 2026Resolve1,80034.0%28.0%12.0%11.0%
11 Oct 2026Roy Morgan–26.0%21.5%24.0%15.0%
10 Oct 2026Resolve Strategic–29.0%23.0%25.0%12.0%
8 Oct 2026Newspoll–29.0%20.0%28.0%14.0%
8 Oct 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00824.0%30.0%–16.0%
6 Oct 2026YouGov1,50025.0%21.0%28.0%15.0%
2 Oct 2026Redbridge/Accent–28.0%21.0%29.0%11.0%
2 Oct 2026Newspoll1,26437.0%28.0%11.0%12.0%
30 Sep 2026YouGov1,32934.0%27.0%12.0%12.0%
28 Sep 2026Essential–29.0%22.0%25.0%12.0%
28 Sep 2026Freshwater1,03024.0%29.0%–14.0%
27 Sep 2026Roy Morgan2,56926.0%20.0%25.5%14.5%
Show all polls (182)
DatePollsterSample ALP Coalition One Nation Greens
21 Sep 2026YouGov1,50026.0%21.0%27.0%14.0%
21 Sep 2026Roy Morgan5,08434.0%30.0%9.5%12.0%
20 Sep 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,02025.0%30.0%–14.0%
19 Sep 2026DemosAU (MRP)9,74027.0%22.0%26.0%13.0%
17 Sep 2026Newspoll1,24427.0%19.0%30.0%13.0%
14 Sep 2026DemosAU–28.0%20.0%26.0%13.0%
14 Sep 2026RedBridge/Accent2,37124.0%29.0%–15.0%
13 Sep 2026Roy Morgan1,58325.0%19.0%25.0%16.0%
13 Sep 2026Resolve1,80035.0%27.0%12.0%11.0%
11 Sep 2026Newspoll1,28336.0%27.0%10.0%13.0%
8 Sep 2026YouGov1,50026.0%18.0%30.0%12.0%
8 Sep 2026RedBridge/Accent5,32635.0%30.0%11.0%11.0%
6 Sep 2026Roy Morgan1,54127.0%17.0%26.5%14.5%
31 Aug 2026Essential1,05026.0%26.0%23.0%13.0%
30 Aug 2026Roy Morgan1,58529.5%18.0%23.5%13.5%
28 Aug 2026Newspoll1,24329.0%19.0%30.0%13.0%
28 Aug 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00629.0%22.0%28.0%12.0%
26 Aug 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,02832.0%25.0%23.0%13.0%
24 Aug 2026YouGov1,51029.0%21.0%26.0%12.0%
24 Aug 2026Roy Morgan5,00134.0%30.0%9.0%12.0%
20 Aug 2026DemosAU1,56226.0%25.0%24.0%12.0%
16 Aug 2026Roy Morgan1,57628.5%21.0%25.0%12.5%
16 Aug 2026Resolve1,80037.0%29.0%9.0%12.0%
14 Aug 2026Newspoll1,28336.0%30.0%9.0%12.0%
12 Aug 2026Insightfully1,00029.0%18.0%29.0%13.0%
11 Aug 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,00723.0%32.0%–13.0%
10 Aug 2026YouGov1,50028.0%22.0%24.0%12.0%
9 Aug 2026Roy Morgan1,64725.5%18.5%26.0%15.5%
7 Aug 2026Newspoll1,24229.0%18.0%29.0%14.0%
3 Aug 2026Freshwater1,02025.0%30.0%–14.0%
2 Aug 2026Roy Morgan1,53127.5%20.0%24.0%15.0%
1 Aug 2026RedBridge/Accent1,01423.0%30.0%–14.0%
30 Jul 2026Wolf & Smith5,00036.0%30.0%––
28 Jul 2026YouGov1,50028.0%22.0%25.0%13.0%
27 Jul 2026Essential1,06031.0%22.0%25.0%12.0%
27 Jul 2026Roy Morgan5,15936.5%31.0%7.0%12.0%
26 Jul 2026Newspoll1,03528.0%31.0%–13.0%
23 Jul 2026Spectre Strategy–28.0%23.0%26.0%12.0%
19 Jul 2026Roy Morgan1,67927.5%20.5%22.5%14.0%
18 Jul 2026Resolve2,31135.0%29.0%8.0%12.0%
17 Jul 2026Newspoll1,26436.0%29.0%8.0%12.0%
14 Jul 2026YouGov1,50028.0%20.0%26.0%12.0%
14 Jul 2026RedBridge/Accent6,50026.0%26.0%–12.0%
12 Jul 2026Roy Morgan1,61227.5%17.5%28.0%12.5%
12 Jul 2026Resolve1,10029.0%23.0%25.0%11.0%
10 Jul 2026YouGov (MRP)4,00323.0%26.0%–13.0%
8 Jul 2026DemosAU2,69426.0%21.0%29.0%14.0%
5 Jul 2026Roy Morgan1,58428.0%19.0%22.5%14.0%
1 Jul 2026Spectre Strategy1,00135.9%31.0%7.9%12.8%
30 Jun 2026YouGov1,50229.0%17.0%30.0%13.0%
30 Jun 2026RedBridge/Accent4,03637.0%31.0%9.0%11.0%
29 Jun 2026Essential1,01730.0%23.0%26.0%10.0%
29 Jun 2026Roy Morgan1,52236.5%30.5%8.5%12.0%
26 Jun 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00630.0%18.0%29.0%14.0%
26 Jun 2026Newspoll–31.0%16.0%29.0%13.0%
22 Jun 2026Roy Morgan3,95737.5%31.0%6.0%12.0%
18 Jun 2026DemosAU1,49727.0%18.0%30.0%13.0%
16 Jun 2026YouGov1,50026.0%21.0%28.0%13.0%
14 Jun 2026Roy Morgan1,58328.0%15.0%29.5%14.0%
13 Jun 2026Resolve1,80128.0%20.0%29.0%12.0%
11 Jun 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,05621.0%30.0%–15.0%
8 Jun 2026Freshwater1,03423.0%27.0%–14.0%
7 Jun 2026Roy Morgan1,63126.0%14.5%29.5%15.5%
4 Jun 2026Newspoll1,24030.0%18.0%31.0%11.0%
2 Jun 2026YouGov1,47126.0%20.0%29.0%13.0%
1 Jun 2026Roy Morgan5,12837.0%31.0%6.0%11.5%
28 May 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00528.0%20.0%31.0%12.0%
26 May 2026Agenda C Synesis–29.0%18.0%24.0%10.0%
26 May 2026Fox & Hedgehog–29.0%25.0%27.0%10.0%
25 May 2026Essential1,02729.0%23.0%28.0%11.0%
24 May 2026Roy Morgan1,61327.5%21.0%25.5%13.5%
20 May 2026DemosAU1,50226.0%23.0%28.0%13.0%
20 May 2026Resolve1,00032.0%26.0%22.0%10.0%
19 May 2026YouGov1,50028.0%23.0%25.0%13.0%
17 May 2026Newspoll1,25231.0%20.0%27.0%12.0%
17 May 2026Roy Morgan1,66829.5%21.0%24.5%11.5%
16 May 2026Resolve1,80029.0%23.0%24.0%12.0%
15 May 2026Freshwater Strategy–29.0%25.0%26.0%11.0%
14 May 2026RedBridge/Accent (MRP)6,01531.0%21.0%28.0%11.0%
13 May 2026Wolf & Smith–30.0%24.0%22.0%11.0%
10 May 2026Roy Morgan1,60530.5%21.0%22.0%11.5%
5 May 2026YouGov1,50030.0%21.0%24.0%14.0%
3 May 2026Roy Morgan1,68129.5%21.0%21.5%13.0%
30 Apr 2026RedBridge/Accent1,01431.0%22.0%27.0%13.0%
30 Apr 2026Freshwater1,04632.0%23.0%25.0%12.0%
27 Apr 2026Essential1,00230.0%24.0%25.0%11.0%
26 Apr 2026Roy Morgan1,58730.0%19.0%22.5%14.0%
21 Apr 2026YouGov1,50027.0%20.0%27.0%14.0%
19 Apr 2026Roy Morgan1,62030.5%19.5%21.5%13.5%
18 Apr 2026Resolve1,80732.0%23.0%22.0%12.0%
16 Apr 2026Newspoll1,23531.0%21.0%24.0%13.0%
14 Apr 2026DemosAU1,43926.0%23.0%26.0%13.0%
12 Apr 2026Roy Morgan1,51230.0%19.5%24.5%12.5%
8 Apr 2026Spectre Strategy1,00228.0%24.0%26.0%12.0%
7 Apr 2026YouGov1,50030.0%20.0%25.0%13.0%
5 Apr 2026Roy Morgan1,41130.5%20.0%21.5%12.0%
29 Mar 2026Freshwater1,05032.0%23.0%25.0%12.0%
29 Mar 2026Roy Morgan1,56230.0%19.5%23.5%13.5%
27 Mar 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00332.0%17.0%29.0%13.0%
26 Mar 2026Newspoll1,23231.0%21.0%26.0%12.0%
25 Mar 2026Fox& Hedgehog1,81030.0%23.0%23.0%13.0%
24 Mar 2026YouGov1,50029.0%19.0%27.0%13.0%
23 Mar 2026Essential1,00831.0%24.0%24.0%10.0%
23 Mar 2026Freshwater1,06227.0%30.0%–14.0%
22 Mar 2026Roy Morgan1,66427.0%21.5%23.5%13.5%
19 Mar 2026YouGov1,50228.0%21.0%26.0%13.0%
15 Mar 2026Roy Morgan1,64928.5%20.5%22.5%12.5%
14 Mar 2026Resolve1,80329.0%22.0%24.0%12.0%
10 Mar 2026YouGov1,50030.0%19.0%26.0%13.0%
8 Mar 2026Roy Morgan1,53226.5%22.5%23.5%14.5%
4 Mar 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,03234.0%23.0%21.0%15.0%
3 Mar 2026DemosAU (MRP)8,42429.0%21.0%27.0%12.0%
1 Mar 2026Roy Morgan1,55430.5%23.5%22.0%11.5%
27 Feb 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00632.0%13.0%28.0%12.0%
26 Feb 2026Newspoll1,23732.0%20.0%27.0%11.0%
24 Feb 2026YouGov1,50029.0%15.0%24.0%13.0%
23 Feb 2026Essential1,00230.0%26.0%22.0%11.0%
23 Feb 2026Freshwater1,03028.0%27.0%–13.0%
22 Feb 2026Roy Morgan1,64931.0%24.0%20.5%12.5%
20 Feb 2026DemosAU1,55129.0%21.0%28.0%12.0%
19 Feb 2026Fox& Hedgehog1,62530.0%24.0%25.0%12.0%
19 Feb 2026EMRS95330.0%–24.0%13.0%
16 Feb 2026Roy Morgan52632.0%23.5%21.5%12.5%
14 Feb 2026Resolve1,71732.0%23.0%23.0%11.0%
12 Feb 2026RedBridge/Accent2,01034.0%17.0%28.0%11.0%
10 Feb 2026YouGov1,56130.0%14.0%28.0%12.0%
10 Feb 2026DemosAU/Premier National1,27423.0%29.0%–15.0%
8 Feb 2026Newspoll1,23433.0%15.0%27.0%12.0%
8 Feb 2026Roy Morgan1,58428.5%22.5%24.5%13.5%
1 Feb 2026Roy Morgan1,40130.5%18.0%25.0%12.5%
29 Jan 2026RedBridge/Accent1,00334.0%13.0%26.0%11.0%
27 Jan 2026YouGov1,50031.0%14.0%25.0%12.0%
25 Jan 2026Roy Morgan1,93330.5%20.0%22.5%13.0%
23 Jan 2026Essential1,02231.0%25.0%22.0%9.0%
21 Jan 2026DemosAU1,93330.0%21.0%24.0%13.0%
18 Jan 2026Freshwater1,05033.0%28.0%19.0%11.0%
18 Jan 2026Roy Morgan1,63028.5%22.0%21.0%13.5%
17 Jan 2026Resolve1,14537.0%27.0%–10.0%
16 Jan 2026Newspoll1,22432.0%21.0%22.0%12.0%
11 Jan 2026Roy Morgan1,67630.0%28.0%15.0%13.5%
6 Jan 2026Fox& Hedgehog1,60829.0%25.0%21.0%14.0%
6 Jan 2026DemosAU1,02729.0%23.0%23.0%12.0%
23 Dec 2025YouGov1,86930.0%24.0%20.0%13.0%
20 Dec 2025Resolve1,01032.0%28.0%16.0%12.0%
14 Dec 2025Roy Morgan1,57430.5%27.5%17.0%13.0%
14 Dec 2025Spectre Strategy–34.0%26.0%16.0%11.0%
12 Dec 2025RedBridge/Accent1,01235.0%26.0%17.0%13.0%
8 Dec 2025Essential1,30034.0%26.0%17.0%10.0%
8 Dec 2025Redbridge/Accent1,29338.0%30.0%4.0%10.0%
7 Dec 2025Resolve1,80035.0%26.0%14.0%11.0%
2 Dec 2025YouGov1,60532.0%24.0%19.0%13.0%
26 Nov 2025RedBridge/Accent4,77535.0%26.0%18.0%10.0%
24 Nov 2025Essential1,02036.0%27.0%15.0%11.0%
24 Nov 2025Freshwater1,22030.0%37.0%–15.0%
20 Nov 2025Newspoll1,24536.0%24.0%15.0%13.0%
17 Nov 2025YouGov (MRP)3,53034.0%26.0%18.0%12.0%
17 Nov 2025Spectre Strategy1,00733.0%25.0%17.5%12.5%
17 Nov 2025Freshwater1,21730.0%37.0%–15.0%
16 Nov 2025Roy Morgan5,24833.0%27.0%14.0%12.5%
13 Nov 2025RedBridge/Accent1,01138.0%24.0%18.0%9.0%
11 Nov 2025DemosAU (MRP)6,92833.0%24.0%17.0%13.0%
9 Nov 2025Resolve1,14537.0%28.0%–10.0%
30 Oct 2025Newspoll1,26536.0%24.0%15.0%11.0%
30 Oct 2025YouGov4,57833.0%27.0%13.0%12.0%
27 Oct 2025Essential1,04136.0%26.0%15.0%9.0%
27 Oct 2025DemosAU/Premier National1,01626.0%37.0%–15.0%
22 Oct 2025DemosAU/Premier National1,01637.0%30.0%–13.0%

Pollsters: deviation from the average

PollsterPollsALPCoalitionOne NationGreens
Roy Morgan42 0.0-0.7-1.6+0.6
YouGov25 -1.4-2.6+2.8+0.3
Newspoll19 +1.7-1.4+0.6-0.2
RedBridge/Accent17 +0.4-0.5+1.3-0.2
Resolve15 +2.0+1.4-2.5-1.0
Essential12 +0.2+0.5+1.1-1.3
Freshwater11 -1.3+4.4-1.5+0.7
DemosAU9 -1.9-0.9+3.1+0.2

A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.

Data sources 22 polling firms

All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s PolitPro.eu i Wikipedije.

Polling firms

  • Roy Morgan42 anketa · 19 Oct 2026
  • YouGov25 anketa · 20 Oct 2026
  • Newspoll19 anketa · 8 Oct 2026
  • RedBridge/Accent17 anketa · 8 Oct 2026
  • Resolve15 anketa · 12 Oct 2026
  • Essential12 anketa · 28 Sep 2026
  • Freshwater11 anketa · 20 Oct 2026
  • DemosAU9 anketa · 14 Sep 2026
  • DemosAU/Premier National8 anketa · 20 Sep 2026
  • Spectre Strategy5 anketa · 23 Jul 2026
  • DemosAU (MRP)3 anketa · 19 Sep 2026
  • Fox& Hedgehog3 anketa · 25 Mar 2026
  • Redbridge/Accent2 anketa · 2 Oct 2026
  • Wolf & Smith2 anketa · 30 Jul 2026
  • YouGov (MRP)2 anketa · 10 Jul 2026
  • Resolve Strategic1 anketa · 10 Oct 2026
  • Insightfully1 anketa · 12 Aug 2026
  • Agenda C Synesis1 anketa · 26 May 2026
  • Fox & Hedgehog1 anketa · 26 May 2026
  • Freshwater Strategy1 anketa · 15 May 2026
  • RedBridge/Accent (MRP)1 anketa · 14 May 2026
  • EMRS1 anketa · 19 Feb 2026

Compilations and official sources

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About the country

Australia (capital: Canberra). The national parliament is the House of Representatives with 150 seats. The last national election was held on 3 May 2025.

This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.

Capital
Canberra
Parliament
House of Representatives
Seats in parliament
150
Last election
03.05.2025

Frequently asked questions

Who is leading the polls in Australia?

According to the weighted average of recent polls, ALP (31.4%) is in first place, followed by Coalition 26.5%, One Nation 15.7%, Greens 13.2%. Last poll: 20.10.2026.

How many polls are included for Australia?

The page includes 182 published polls from 22 polling firms (DemosAU/Premier National, Essential, Newspoll, YouGov, Resolve, DemosAU (MRP)…), from 22.10.2025 to 20.10.2026.

Which party is gaining in Australia?

ALP gained the most (+2.7 points) compared with the previous 10 days, while One Nation lost the most (-8.3).

How is the poll average calculated?

Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.