Ireland: according to the poll average, Sinn Féin leads with 19.0%, followed by Fianna Fáil (18.0%) and Fine Gael (18.0%). Updated 04.10.2026.
Ireland: Parliamentary election
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- Sinn Féin 19.0%▼ 4.0
- Fianna Fáil 18.0%=
- Fine Gael 18.0%▲ 1.0
- Social Democrats 11.0%▲ 3.0
- Aontú 8.0%▲ 3.0
- Independent Ireland 5.0%▲ 1.0
- Labour 4.0%=
- Greens 3.0%=
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (25 Sep 2026 – 4 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (25)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Sinn Féin | Fianna Fáil | Fine Gael | Social Democrats | Aontú | Independent Ireland | Labour | Greens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,875 | 19.0% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Ireland Thinks | – | 19.0% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | – | 23.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | The Irish Times | 1,200 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Red C | – | 21.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,044 | 21.0% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,384 | 20.0% | 16.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,279 | 19.0% | 17.0% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 24 Jun 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 21.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,625 | 20.0% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% |
| 27 May 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 21.0% | 15.0% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,774 | 22.0% | 17.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Business Post | 1,008 | 25.0% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,286 | 22.0% | 19.0% | 17.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
Show all polls (25)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Sinn Féin | Fianna Fáil | Fine Gael | Social Democrats | Aontú | Independent Ireland | Labour | Greens |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 24.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,200 | 22.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 23.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | The Irish Times | 1,200 | 24.0% | 19.0% | 18.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Sunday Independent | 1,248 | 20.0% | 18.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Business Post | 1,010 | 24.0% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Sunday Independent | 1,000 | 22.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Sunday Independent | 1,069 | 24.0% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Business Post | 1,010 | 22.0% | 18.0% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sunday Independent | 1,609 | 23.0% | 18.0% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
Pollsters: deviation from the average
| Pollster | Polls | Sinn Féin | Fianna Fáil | Fine Gael | Social Democrats |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunday Independent | 12 | -0.8 | +0.7 | +0.4 | +0.5 |
| Business Post | 8 | +0.7 | -1.3 | -0.2 | -0.2 |
A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.
Data sources 6 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s PolitPro.eu i Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Sunday Independent12 anketa · 4 Oct 2026
- Business Post8 anketa · 9 Sep 2026
- The Irish Times2 anketa · 22 Sep 2026
- Ireland Thinks1 anketa · 2 Oct 2026
- Ipsos1 anketa · 22 Sep 2026
- Red C1 anketa · 9 Sep 2026
Compilations and official sources
Download data: CSV · JSON · All sources and methodology
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About the country
Ireland (capital: Dublin). The national parliament is the Dáil Éireann. The last national election was held on 29 November 2024.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Dublin
- Parliament
- Dáil Éireann
- Last election
- 29.11.2024
- European Parliament seats
- 14
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Ireland?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, Sinn Féin (19.0%) is in first place, followed by Fianna Fáil 18.0%, Fine Gael 18.0%, Social Democrats 11.0%. Last poll: 04.10.2026.
How many polls are included for Ireland?
The page includes 25 published polls from 6 polling firms (Sunday Independent, Business Post, The Irish Times, Red C, Ipsos, Ireland Thinks), from 31.10.2025 to 04.10.2026.
Which party is gaining in Ireland?
Social Democrats gained the most (+3.0 points) compared with the previous 10 days, while Sinn Féin lost the most (-4.0).
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.