Estonia: according to the poll average, Keskerakond leads with 23.0%, followed by Isamaa (22.3%) and SDE (17.6%). Updated 18.10.2026. Next election (Parliamentary elections): 07.03.2027.
Estonia: Parliamentary election
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- Keskerakond 23.0%=
- Isamaa 22.3%▲ 3.3
- SDE 17.6%▲ 3.6
- EKRE 14.5%▼ 3.5
- Reformierakond 11.8%▲ 1.8
- Parempoolsed 6.9%▼ 1.1
- Eesti 200 1.4%▼ 0.6
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (9 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (65)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Keskerakond | Isamaa | SDE | EKRE | Reformierakond | Parempoolsed | Eesti 200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Norstat | – | 23.0% | 22.3% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| 7 Oct 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | – | 23.0% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.1% | 27.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | – | 7.7% | 1.6% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Kantar Emor | – | 16.9% | 23.8% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.4% | 24.1% | 19.1% | 11.8% | – | 6.7% | 1.5% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.6% | 25.9% | 13.9% | 11.3% | – | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.2% | 22.3% | 14.4% | 13.9% | – | 7.9% | 1.6% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 902 | 21.0% | 24.0% | 15.0% | 13.0% | – | 9.0% | 1.0% |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.5% | 29.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | – | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| 2 Aug 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.7% | 25.3% | 15.4% | 12.2% | – | 5.8% | 1.4% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.1% | 25.1% | 15.4% | 12.9% | – | 5.2% | 1.2% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.3% | 25.0% | 13.0% | 17.7% | – | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Emor | 1,554 | 20.3% | 24.4% | 14.3% | 14.2% | – | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.4% | 27.9% | 11.8% | 15.0% | – | 7.0% | 1.6% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.3% | 26.7% | 13.8% | 13.4% | – | 5.9% | 2.0% |
Show all polls (65)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Keskerakond | Isamaa | SDE | EKRE | Reformierakond | Parempoolsed | Eesti 200 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 906 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 13.0% | – | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.0% | 26.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | – | 6.7% | 1.6% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Emor | 1,587 | 21.5% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 13.4% | – | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 24.1% | 25.5% | 14.3% | 14.6% | – | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.0% | 25.7% | 17.8% | 13.5% | – | 6.3% | 1.5% |
| 31 May 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.0% | 26.8% | 11.3% | 13.4% | – | 8.4% | 1.4% |
| 23 May 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.6% | 28.0% | 12.5% | 14.3% | – | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| 20 May 2026 | Emor | 1,429 | 20.6% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 13.9% | – | 8.5% | 2.4% |
| 17 May 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.2% | 28.9% | 14.1% | 13.0% | – | 6.2% | 1.0% |
| 13 May 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 903 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | – | 11.0% | 2.0% |
| 10 May 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.9% | 24.4% | 14.2% | 14.3% | – | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 3 May 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.3% | 25.9% | 15.8% | 13.5% | – | 5.4% | 1.3% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.9% | 27.7% | 13.5% | 13.6% | – | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Emor | 1,526 | 21.9% | 25.2% | 17.0% | 8.7% | – | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.7% | 25.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | – | 7.0% | 0.7% |
| 12 Apr 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.6% | 26.7% | 13.8% | 14.8% | – | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 876 | 23.0% | 24.0% | 14.0% | 11.0% | – | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.6% | 24.3% | 16.6% | 12.0% | – | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.9% | 24.9% | 14.0% | 13.5% | – | 6.8% | 2.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.4% | 26.8% | 15.5% | 11.5% | – | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| 18 Mar 2026 | Emor | 1,515 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | – | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.4% | 29.8% | 14.3% | 11.0% | – | 6.1% | 1.4% |
| 9 Mar 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 872 | 23.0% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | – | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.8% | 26.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | – | 6.5% | 2.3% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.5% | 29.5% | 13.4% | 11.5% | – | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.4% | 25.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | – | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Kantar Emor | 1,446 | 21.3% | 24.4% | 15.5% | 13.3% | – | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.1% | 26.6% | 12.9% | 13.8% | – | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 899 | 21.0% | 22.0% | 14.0% | 14.0% | – | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 18.6% | 28.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | – | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.0% | 28.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | – | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.7% | 26.0% | 13.4% | 10.9% | – | 6.3% | 2.4% |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Kantar Emor | 1,598 | 22.7% | 25.5% | 13.5% | 13.3% | – | 6.9% | 1.4% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | Turu-uuringute AS | 894 | 20.0% | 19.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | – | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.2% | 23.5% | 15.4% | 14.9% | – | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.0% | 27.7% | 14.2% | 11.3% | – | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.5% | 31.4% | 13.1% | 9.3% | – | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.1% | 26.1% | 14.6% | 15.5% | – | 6.2% | 1.4% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.5% | 29.1% | 13.8% | 14.0% | – | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 877 | 22.0% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | – | 7.0% | 1.0% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Kantar Emor | 1,621 | 20.7% | 23.6% | 14.6% | 11.7% | – | 8.8% | 2.6% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.1% | 26.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | – | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 20.8% | 28.2% | 16.3% | 15.6% | – | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 19.7% | 29.1% | 14.1% | 14.4% | – | 7.4% | 2.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.8% | 28.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | – | 7.3% | 2.8% |
| 12 Nov 2025 | Kantar Emor | 1,483 | 19.0% | 25.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | – | 8.7% | 2.5% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Turu-uuringute AS | 887 | 19.0% | 22.0% | 15.0% | 13.0% | – | 9.0% | 2.0% |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 21.4% | 30.4% | 13.2% | 13.4% | – | 7.6% | 0.9% |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 22.0% | 29.5% | 11.8% | 14.8% | – | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Norstat | 1,000 | 23.7% | 30.2% | 12.9% | 13.4% | – | 5.1% | 2.1% |
Pollsters: deviation from the average
| Pollster | Polls | Keskerakond | Isamaa | SDE | EKRE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat | 45 | 0.0 | +1.3 | -0.3 | 0.0 |
| Turu-uuringute AS | 10 | +0.5 | -3.3 | 0.0 | +0.4 |
| Kantar Emor | 5 | -0.4 | -0.8 | +0.6 | -0.6 |
| Emor | 5 | -0.3 | -0.9 | +0.9 | -0.4 |
A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.
Data sources 4 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s PolitPro.eu i Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Norstat45 anketa · 18 Oct 2026
- Turu-uuringute AS10 anketa · 7 Oct 2026
- Kantar Emor5 anketa · 23 Sep 2026
- Emor5 anketa · 16 Jul 2026
Compilations and official sources
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About the country
Estonia (capital: Tallinn). The national parliament is the Riigikogu with 101 seats. The last national election was held on 5 March 2023. The next election is scheduled for 7 March 2027.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Tallinn
- Parliament
- Riigikogu
- Seats in parliament
- 101
- Last election
- 05.03.2023
- Next election
- 07.03.2027
- Next election type
- Parliamentary elections
- European Parliament seats
- 7
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Estonia?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, Keskerakond (23.0%) is in first place, followed by Isamaa 22.3%, SDE 17.6%, EKRE 14.5%. Last poll: 18.10.2026.
How many polls are included for Estonia?
The page includes 65 published polls from 4 polling firms (Norstat, Turu-uuringute AS, Kantar Emor, Emor), from 26.10.2025 to 18.10.2026.
When is the next election in Estonia?
The next election (Parliamentary elections) is scheduled for 07.03.2027, in 132 days.
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.