Lithuania: according to the poll average, TS-LKD leads with 22.6%, followed by LSDP (14.9%) and Nemuno aušra (13.4%). Updated 05.10.2026.
Lithuania: Parliamentary election
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- TS-LKD 22.6%–
- LSDP 14.9%–
- Nemuno aušra 13.4%–
- LVŽS 12.2%–
- Laisvės partija 6.4%–
- Demokratai „Vardan Lietuvos“ 5.6%–
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (26 Sep 2026 – 5 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (3)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | TS-LKD | LSDP | Nemuno aušra | LVŽS | Laisvės partija | Demokratai „Vardan Lietuvos“ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | Baltijos tyrimai | – | 20.7% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Spinter tyrimai | – | 24.5% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Vilmorus | – | 21.6% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% | – | 13.7% |
Data sources 3 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s PolitPro.eu i Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Baltijos tyrimai1 anketa · 5 Oct 2026
- Spinter tyrimai1 anketa · 26 Sep 2026
- Vilmorus1 anketa · 30 Dec 2025
Compilations and official sources
Download data: CSV · JSON · All sources and methodology
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About the country
Lithuania (capital: Vilnius). The national parliament is the Seimas. The last national election was held on 13 October 2024.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Vilnius
- Parliament
- Seimas
- Last election
- 13.10.2024
- European Parliament seats
- 11
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Lithuania?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, TS-LKD (22.6%) is in first place, followed by LSDP 14.9%, Nemuno aušra 13.4%, LVŽS 12.2%. Last poll: 05.10.2026.
How many polls are included for Lithuania?
The page includes 3 published polls from 3 polling firms (Vilmorus, Spinter tyrimai, Baltijos tyrimai), from 30.12.2025 to 05.10.2026.
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.