Nigeria: according to the poll average, Bola Tinubu (APC) leads with 35.4%, followed by Peter Obi (33.9%) and Atiku Abubakar (26.7%). Updated 07.09.2026.
Nigeria: 2027 presidential election (online poll, not representative)
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- Bola Tinubu (APC) 35.4%–
- Peter Obi 33.9%–
- Atiku Abubakar 26.7%–
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (29 Aug 2026 – 7 Sep 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (1)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Bola Tinubu (APC) | Peter Obi | Atiku Abubakar |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2026 | Oxford-Metro Analytics (online) | 69,110 | 35.4% | 33.9% | 26.7% |
Data sources 1 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Oxford-Metro Analytics National Trust Poll – online anketa s 69.110 odgovora, bez reprezentativnog uzorka (Tribune, Vanguard).
Polling firms
- Oxford-Metro Analytics (online)1 anketa · 7 Sep 2026
Compilations and official sources
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About the country
Nigeria (capital: Abuja). The national parliament is the National Assembly. The last national election was held on 25 February 2023.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Abuja
- Parliament
- National Assembly
- Last election
- 25.02.2023
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Nigeria?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, Bola Tinubu (APC) (35.4%) is in first place, followed by Peter Obi 33.9%, Atiku Abubakar 26.7%. Last poll: 07.09.2026.
How many polls are included for Nigeria?
The page includes 1 published polls from 1 polling firms (Oxford-Metro Analytics (online)), from 07.09.2026 to 07.09.2026.
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.