Croatia: according to the poll average, HDZ leads with 25.0%, followed by SDP (19.5%) and Možemo (13.8%). Updated 11.10.2026.
Croatia: Parliamentary election
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- HDZ 25.0%▼ 1.4
- SDP 19.5%▲ 1.6
- Možemo 13.8%▲ 0.5
- Most 9.8%▲ 0.6
- Drito 2.0%▼ 0.1
- DP 1.8%▼ 1.0
- HSU 1.7%–
- DOMiNO 1.5%▲ 0.3
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (2 Oct 2026 – 11 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (45)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | HDZ | SDP | Možemo | Most | Drito | DP | HSU | DOMiNO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | Promocija plus | – | 25.0% | 19.5% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | – | 1.5% |
| 22 Sep 2026 | Ipsos | – | 26.4% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 25.3% | 20.5% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Ipsos | 997 | 26.6% | 18.2% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Ipsos | 997 | 27.4% | 18.8% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 27.0% | 21.5% | 12.2% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | – | 1.1% |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Ipsos | 994 | 26.8% | 19.7% | 12.5% | 8.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| 7 Jun 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 27.3% | 22.0% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | – | 1.2% |
| 26 May 2026 | Ipsos | 997 | 27.2% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 7.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% |
| 11 May 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 29.0% | 22.2% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Ipsos | 990 | 27.7% | 19.8% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 30.0% | 22.8% | 11.8% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | – | 1.1% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Ipsos | 994 | 28.3% | 19.6% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% |
| 8 Mar 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 29.7% | 22.5% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Ipsos | 989 | 28.6% | 20.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
Show all polls (45)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | HDZ | SDP | Možemo | Most | Drito | DP | HSU | DOMiNO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 29.8% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 30.6% | 23.1% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | – | – |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Ipsos | 989 | 28.6% | 21.2% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | – | – |
| 25 Dec 2025 | Ipsos | 994 | 27.8% | 20.6% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | – | – |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 27.5% | 22.5% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Ipsos | 989 | 26.9% | 20.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% | – | 3.2% | – | – |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 27.0% | 23.5% | 10.7% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 26.2% | 22.7% | 11.1% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | – | 1.8% |
| 25 Sep 2025 | Ipsos | 989 | 27.5% | 22.5% | 10.6% | 6.0% | – | 2.5% | – | – |
| 7 Sep 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 28.2% | 23.0% | 11.3% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% |
| 25 Aug 2025 | Ipsos | 983 | 27.8% | 22.9% | 10.1% | 5.7% | – | 2.8% | – | 2.0% |
| 3 Aug 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 29.4% | 22.9% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.6% |
| 13 Jul 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 29.3% | 22.7% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 1.9% |
| 25 Jun 2025 | Ipsos | 983 | 27.7% | 23.1% | 10.7% | 5.9% | – | 2.7% | – | 2.3% |
| 8 Jun 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 29.1% | 23.8% | 9.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 2.2% |
| 24 May 2025 | Ipsos | 989 | 29.6% | 23.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | – | 2.7% | – | – |
| 1 May 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1,041 | 27.5% | 23.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | – | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| 25 Apr 2025 | Ipsos | 990 | 25.8% | 25.2% | 10.6% | 5.7% | – | 4.3% | – | 2.5% |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 25.8% | 26.4% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 2.4% |
| 31 Mar 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije | 983 | 27.5% | 23.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | – | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Ipsos | 983 | 26.9% | 25.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% | – | 3.7% | – | – |
| 20 Mar 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 25.4% | 26.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | – | 2.0% | 0.5% | 1.9% |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 26.1% | 26.3% | 10.2% | 6.8% | – | 2.2% | 0.4% | 1.8% |
| 3 Mar 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1,041 | 26.9% | 22.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | – | 1.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| 25 Feb 2025 | Ipsos | 984 | 26.3% | 25.7% | 9.7% | 6.0% | – | 2.7% | – | – |
| 20 Feb 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 25.9% | 23.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | – | 2.2% | 0.8% | 2.0% |
| 9 Feb 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,300 | 26.0% | 23.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | – | 2.4% | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| 1 Feb 2025 | 2x1 komunikacije | 1,041 | 28.9% | 21.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | – | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% |
| 25 Jan 2025 | Ipsos | 993 | 27.3% | 24.3% | 10.6% | 6.3% | – | 1.5% | – | 1.5% |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Promocija plus | 1,000 | 26.6% | 23.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | – | 2.5% | 0.7% | – |
Pollsters: deviation from the average
| Pollster | Polls | HDZ | SDP | Možemo | Most |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promocija plus | 22 | 0.0 | +0.8 | +0.3 | 0.0 |
| Ipsos | 19 | -0.2 | -0.6 | +0.1 | +0.1 |
| 2x1 komunikacije | 4 | +0.6 | -1.0 | -1.1 | -0.1 |
A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.
Data sources 3 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Promocija plus22 anketa · 11 Oct 2026
- Ipsos19 anketa · 22 Sep 2026
- 2x1 komunikacije4 anketa · 1 May 2025
Compilations and official sources
Download data: CSV · JSON · All sources and methodology
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About the country
Croatia (capital: Zagreb). The national parliament is the Hrvatski sabor with 151 seats. The last national election was held on 17 April 2024.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Zagreb
- Parliament
- Hrvatski sabor
- Seats in parliament
- 151
- Last election
- 17.04.2024
- European Parliament seats
- 12
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Croatia?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, HDZ (25.0%) is in first place, followed by SDP 19.5%, Možemo 13.8%, Most 9.8%. Last poll: 11.10.2026.
How many polls are included for Croatia?
The page includes 45 published polls from 3 polling firms (Promocija plus, Ipsos, 2x1 komunikacije), from 10.01.2025 to 11.10.2026.
Which party is gaining in Croatia?
SDP gained the most (+1.6 points) compared with the previous 10 days, while HDZ lost the most (-1.4).
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.