Canada: according to the poll average, Liberal leads with 47.2%, followed by Conservative (30.6%) and NDP (11.5%). Updated 17.10.2026.
Canada: Parliamentary election
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- Liberal 47.2%▲ 0.6
- Conservative 30.6%▲ 1.9
- NDP 11.5%▼ 2.7
- Bloc Québécois 6.3%▲ 0.7
- Green 2.4%▼ 0.5
- PPC 1.6%▲ 0.2
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (8 Oct 2026 – 17 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (185)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc Québécois | Green | PPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Liaison Strategies | – | 45.0% | 30.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 16 Oct 2026 | Nanos Research | – | 50.6% | 28.3% | 11.5% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | Abacus Data | – | 46.0% | 34.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Léger | – | 48.0% | 33.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,263 | 45.0% | 29.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,034 | 48.8% | 29.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| 3 Oct 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 46.0% | 28.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Ekos | 2,020 | 47.2% | 26.4% | 15.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| 2 Oct 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,020 | 49.1% | 28.2% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 827 | 43.7% | 33.7% | 14.9% | – | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 46.0% | 29.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,022 | 49.9% | 27.9% | 11.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| 23 Sep 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,774 | 46.0% | 34.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 45.0% | 31.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,026 | 48.1% | 31.0% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
Show all polls (185)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc Québécois | Green | PPC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 44.0% | 32.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,014 | 48.3% | 30.9% | 10.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,479 | 47.0% | 33.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Angus Reid | – | 46.0% | 32.0% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Léger | 1,538 | 49.0% | 33.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 45.0% | 31.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,020 | 47.3% | 31.3% | 10.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 46.0% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,017 | 43.7% | 32.6% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | Ipsos | – | 44.0% | 33.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Aug 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,022 | 45.0% | 35.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 32.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,022 | 44.1% | 30.0% | 12.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 32.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,031 | 45.7% | 28.5% | 13.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,499 | 42.0% | 35.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 44.0% | 31.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Research Co. | – | 47.0% | 27.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,038 | 45.6% | 29.1% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | EKOS | – | 44.7% | 27.1% | 17.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Léger | 1,514 | 46.0% | 34.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 34.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,037 | 47.1% | 27.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,910 | 44.0% | 38.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Angus Reid | 1,769 | 40.0% | 36.0% | 13.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 44.0% | 35.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 24 Jul 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,034 | 44.7% | 29.5% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 35.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,022 | 42.7% | 31.3% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Abacus Data | 4,205 | 43.0% | 37.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 41.0% | 35.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,018 | 43.0% | 31.0% | 15.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,458 | 43.0% | 34.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,017 | 41.4% | 32.1% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,366 | 44.0% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 42.0% | 34.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,017 | 43.8% | 30.4% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Léger | 1,528 | 48.0% | 34.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 32.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,024 | 43.5% | 31.5% | 11.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Abacus Data | 3,080 | 45.0% | 37.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Mainstreet Research | – | 43.1% | 32.8% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 41.0% | 32.0% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,021 | 42.7% | 30.7% | 11.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Angus Reid | 4,237 | 41.0% | 36.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 40.0% | 32.0% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,023 | 42.3% | 29.4% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 Jun 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,910 | 44.0% | 36.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Léger | 1,532 | 50.0% | 34.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 31 May 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 41.0% | 32.0% | 16.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 29 May 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,028 | 40.3% | 32.8% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| 24 May 2026 | Pallas Data | – | 45.0% | 32.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 23 May 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 31.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| 22 May 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,026 | 41.1% | 32.7% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,920 | 47.0% | 35.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 16 May 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 43.0% | 34.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,035 | 42.3% | 32.7% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| 9 May 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,526 | 44.0% | 33.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 8 May 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,036 | 45.5% | 33.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 8 May 2026 | Research Co. | 1,003 | 46.0% | 31.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 5 May 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,478 | 46.0% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 May 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 45.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,027 | 44.8% | 32.0% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 27 Apr 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 42.0% | 21.0% | 9.0% | 22.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Léger | 1,521 | 48.0% | 37.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Ekos | 1,916 | 44.5% | 31.0% | 12.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 24 Apr 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,024 | 44.6% | 32.0% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,000 | 45.0% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 3,129 | 40.3% | 45.8% | 8.9% | – | 1.1% | 2.5% |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Angus Reid | 2,013 | 42.0% | 35.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 20 Apr 2026 | Léger | 1,030 | 47.0% | 17.0% | 5.0% | 29.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 18 Apr 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 45.0% | 33.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 17 Apr 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,022 | 45.8% | 31.5% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 1,275 | 51.2% | 32.2% | 8.8% | – | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 43.0% | 33.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 10 Apr 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,027 | 45.3% | 32.0% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Spark Insights | – | 46.0% | 32.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | – | – |
| 8 Apr 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,680 | 44.0% | 38.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | Ipsos | 1,000 | 45.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 44.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 3 Apr 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,025 | 45.7% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| 30 Mar 2026 | Léger | 1,618 | 48.0% | 34.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 45.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,029 | 46.5% | 32.2% | 11.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Spark Insights | 4,000 | 46.0% | 30.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% | – | – |
| 24 Mar 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,515 | 44.0% | 37.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 21 Mar 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 46.0% | 32.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,024 | 45.7% | 32.9% | 11.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| 17 Mar 2026 | Angus Reid | 4,005 | 44.0% | 36.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 15 Mar 2026 | Ekos | 1,047 | 47.5% | 27.0% | 15.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 45.0% | 31.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,015 | 47.8% | 31.1% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 46.0% | 39.0% | 8.0% | – | – | – |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 1,054 | 46.7% | 34.1% | 9.6% | – | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| 11 Mar 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,931 | 46.0% | 35.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 7 Mar 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 44.0% | 30.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Spark Insights | 3,055 | 46.0% | 31.0% | 10.0% | 5.0% | – | – |
| 6 Mar 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,023 | 46.0% | 32.5% | 10.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 0.7% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 1,276 | 46.0% | 36.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| 2 Mar 2026 | Léger | 1,627 | 49.0% | 35.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 43.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,015 | 43.6% | 33.2% | 11.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| 26 Feb 2026 | Ipsos | 1,001 | 44.0% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,000 | 36.0% | 51.0% | 7.0% | – | 1.0% | 2.0% |
| 24 Feb 2026 | Pollara | – | 47.0% | 34.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | – | – |
| 23 Feb 2026 | Angus Reid | 1,650 | 45.0% | 32.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 45.0% | 33.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,021 | 41.3% | 33.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Innovative Research | – | 44.0% | 37.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 14 Feb 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 43.0% | 34.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,018 | 38.1% | 36.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 1,504 | 45.0% | 48.0% | 5.0% | – | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Abacus Data | 1,915 | 44.0% | 37.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 42.0% | 35.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,049 | 39.1% | 35.2% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Research Co. | 1,001 | 45.0% | 32.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Innovative Research | 1,666 | 40.0% | 38.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 2 Feb 2026 | Mainstreet Research | 1,276 | 51.0% | 35.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 43.0% | 35.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Ekos | 1,453 | 44.4% | 29.5% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,055 | 38.9% | 35.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| 27 Jan 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,498 | 43.0% | 39.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Léger | 1,611 | 47.0% | 38.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Angus Reid | 1,420 | 41.0% | 38.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | – |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 42.0% | 34.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,053 | 39.2% | 35.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 40.0% | 35.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Abacus Data | 2,008 | 41.0% | 39.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,084 | 38.8% | 34.8% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Pallas Data | 1,120 | 40.0% | 37.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 39.0% | 36.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,054 | 38.8% | 35.5% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 38.0% | 37.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Nanos Research | 1,059 | 37.7% | 35.5% | 11.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 39.0% | 37.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,054 | 38.4% | 34.7% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 38.0% | 38.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 19 Dec 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,059 | 36.3% | 35.6% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Pallas Data | 1,074 | 40.9% | 37.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.6% | – |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Ipsos | 1,502 | 40.0% | 37.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Innovative Research | 2,159 | 39.0% | 39.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Mainstreet Research | 1,098 | 41.0% | 42.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 12 Dec 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,084 | 38.5% | 36.0% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Probe Research | 1,000 | 43.0% | 38.0% | 14.0% | – | – | – |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Abacus Data | 1,500 | 41.0% | 41.0% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,042 | 39.1% | 37.8% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Innovative Research | 1,846 | 39.0% | 38.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Abacus Data | 1,802 | 41.0% | 41.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Angus Reid | 4,025 | 40.0% | 37.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Léger | 1,579 | 43.0% | 36.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 41.0% | 36.0% | 12.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,084 | 41.9% | 38.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| 27 Nov 2025 | Abacus Data | 2,421 | 41.0% | 40.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,053 | 41.9% | 37.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Kolosowski Strategies | 890 | 44.0% | 44.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,060 | 40.2% | 38.2% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| 11 Nov 2025 | Ekos | 1,191 | 44.1% | 33.2% | 10.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Léger | 1,031 | 39.0% | 25.0% | 5.0% | 28.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Mainstreet Research | 1,084 | 44.0% | 40.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 44.0% | 36.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Abacus Data | 1,244 | 40.0% | 23.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | – | – |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Angus Reid | 2,038 | 40.0% | 38.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.0% | – |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,122 | 40.0% | 36.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Ekos | 1,199 | 43.4% | 35.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Liaison Strategies | 1,000 | 42.0% | 38.0% | 11.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Léger | 1,585 | 43.0% | 38.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | – |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Nanos Research | 924 | 39.3% | 37.1% | 12.5% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Abacus Data | 2,922 | 40.0% | 42.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Nanos Research | 1,060 | 39.4% | 37.0% | 12.7% | 7.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Ekos | 1,199 | 43.5% | 32.4% | 12.4% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
Pollsters: deviation from the average
| Pollster | Polls | Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Bloc Québécois |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nanos Research | 52 | -0.4 | -1.3 | +1.2 | -0.2 |
| Liaison Strategies | 47 | -0.8 | -0.8 | +1.0 | -0.1 |
| Abacus Data | 25 | -0.2 | +2.7 | -1.8 | -0.1 |
| Léger | 13 | +2.3 | -0.8 | -3.3 | +2.4 |
| Mainstreet Research | 10 | +1.1 | +2.7 | -1.3 | -0.8 |
| Angus Reid | 9 | -1.1 | +0.8 | +0.6 | +0.2 |
| Ekos | 7 | +1.0 | -2.6 | +1.9 | -1.3 |
| Innovative Research | 4 | -0.7 | +0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.
Data sources 16 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s PolitPro.eu i Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Nanos Research52 anketa · 16 Oct 2026
- Liaison Strategies47 anketa · 17 Oct 2026
- Abacus Data25 anketa · 13 Oct 2026
- Léger13 anketa · 12 Oct 2026
- Mainstreet Research10 anketa · 1 Oct 2026
- Angus Reid9 anketa · 7 Sep 2026
- Ekos7 anketa · 2 Oct 2026
- Ipsos4 anketa · 27 Aug 2026
- Innovative Research4 anketa · 17 Feb 2026
- Research Co.3 anketa · 7 Aug 2026
- Pallas Data3 anketa · 24 May 2026
- Spark Insights3 anketa · 8 Apr 2026
- Probe Research2 anketa · 13 Mar 2026
- EKOS1 anketa · 4 Aug 2026
- Pollara1 anketa · 24 Feb 2026
- Kolosowski Strategies1 anketa · 18 Nov 2025
Compilations and official sources
Download data: CSV · JSON · All sources and methodology
Data, API and embeds for registered users
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About the country
Canada (capital: Ottawa). The national parliament is the House of Commons with 343 seats. The last national election was held on 28 April 2025.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Ottawa
- Parliament
- House of Commons
- Seats in parliament
- 343
- Last election
- 28.04.2025
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in Canada?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, Liberal (47.2%) is in first place, followed by Conservative 30.6%, NDP 11.5%, Bloc Québécois 6.3%. Last poll: 17.10.2026.
How many polls are included for Canada?
The page includes 185 published polls from 16 polling firms (Nanos Research, Ekos, Abacus Data, Léger, Liaison Strategies, Angus Reid…), from 24.10.2025 to 17.10.2026.
Which party is gaining in Canada?
Conservative gained the most (+1.9 points) compared with the previous 10 days, while NDP lost the most (-2.7).
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.