New Zealand: according to the poll average, Labour leads with 29.6%, followed by National (27.8%) and Green (15.7%). Updated 19.10.2026. Next election (General election): 07.11.2026.
New Zealand: 2026 general election (party vote)
Published polls by the polling firms; see the source list below
Poll average: last 10 days
- Labour 29.6%▼ 3.8
- National 27.8%=
- Green 15.7%▼ 1.7
- NZ First 9.4%▼ 1.4
- ACT 9.3%▲ 0.3
- TOP 5.4%–
- Te Pāti Māori 3.0%▼ 5.1
Weighted poll average for the last 10 days (10 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026). Arrow: change compared with the previous 10 days.
Poll trend
Individual polls (67)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Labour | National | Green | NZ First | ACT | TOP | Te Pāti Māori |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,003 | 27.0% | 32.0% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | – | 0.7% |
| 19 Oct 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,458 | 28.7% | 27.6% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 15 Oct 2026 | Whakaata Māori–Curia | 500 | 31.0% | – | 19.0% | – | – | – | 11.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,007 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | – | 0.4% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Community Engagement Limited | 520 | 36.7% | 21.6% | 16.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Anacta | 1,352 | 29.0% | 28.0% | 15.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | – | 1.9% |
| 9 Oct 2026 | Mata–Horizon | 711 | 38.0% | – | – | – | – | – | 30.0% |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Whakaata Māori–Curia | 500 | 47.0% | – | 29.0% | – | – | – | 11.0% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 28.2% | 28.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 9.2% | – | 1.4% |
| 5 Oct 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,001 | 28.0% | 29.0% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | – | 0.6% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 30.8% | 25.9% | 14.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 28 Sep 2026 | Curia | 400 | 32.0% | 32.0% | 19.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,004 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 11.0% | – | 1.2% |
| 27 Sep 2026 | Roy Morgan | 859 | 23.5% | 31.0% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 400 | 19.0% | 32.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 19.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
Show all polls (67)
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Labour | National | Green | NZ First | ACT | TOP | Te Pāti Māori |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Whakaata Māori–Curia | 500 | 31.0% | 6.0% | 16.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 12.0% |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Victor Consulting | 533 | 36.0% | 17.0% | 18.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Mata–Horizon | 438 | 38.0% | 11.0% | 17.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 17 Sep 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 400 | 25.0% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,011 | 28.0% | 27.0% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Anacta | 1,701 | 31.0% | 30.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 400 | 29.0% | 13.0% | 31.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | – |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 25.9% | 29.0% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | – | 2.0% |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Roy Morgan | 858 | 24.0% | 31.0% | 15.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | – | 1.5% |
| 21 Aug 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 32.2% | 29.1% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 7.7% | – | 3.0% |
| 12 Aug 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 847 | 30.0% | 29.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | – | 1.1% |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Talbot Mills | – | 34.0% | 29.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 7.0% | – | 3.0% |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 27.8% | 31.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | – | 1.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Community Engagement Limited | 821 | 31.5% | 24.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 1.4% |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 400 | 28.0% | 28.0% | 24.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Roy Morgan | 881 | 25.5% | 32.0% | 13.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | – | 2.0% |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Talbot Mills | – | 33.0% | 31.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 7.0% | – | 3.0% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | PMN News–Horizon | 293 | 50.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 34.0% | 28.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | – | 2.3% |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 31.5% | 30.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.9% | – | 3.4% |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Roy Morgan | 891 | 25.5% | 31.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | – | 3.0% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,001 | 32.0% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| 11 Jun 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,038 | 35.0% | 29.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 10 Jun 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,021 | 34.0% | 29.0% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| 8 Jun 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 32.2% | 30.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% |
| 24 May 2026 | Roy Morgan | 870 | 26.5% | 30.5% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| 10 May 2026 | Talbot Mills | – | 36.0% | 29.0% | 9.0% | 14.0% | 7.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 7 May 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 31.9% | 30.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Roy Morgan | 887 | 34.0% | 25.5% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 16 Apr 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,082 | 36.0% | 29.0% | 7.0% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% |
| 15 Apr 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,010 | 37.0% | 30.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 33.4% | 29.8% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 9.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Roy Morgan | 872 | 34.0% | 26.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| 20 Mar 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 35.6% | 30.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,059 | 35.0% | 32.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 34.4% | 28.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Roy Morgan | 870 | 30.0% | 31.0% | 14.5% | 9.5% | 8.0% | – | 2.5% |
| 12 Feb 2026 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,039 | 37.0% | 30.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 6.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 1 News–Verian | 1,003 | 32.0% | 34.0% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 3 Feb 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 34.1% | 31.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 6.7% | – | 2.9% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Roy Morgan | 881 | 30.5% | 34.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | – | 3.0% |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Talbot Mills | 1,087 | 35.0% | 31.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | – | 3.0% |
| 22 Jan 2026 | RNZ–Reid Research | 1,000 | 35.0% | 31.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% | – | 3.0% |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 34.4% | 31.5% | 7.7% | 11.9% | 7.0% | – | 3.0% |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Roy Morgan | 859 | 32.5% | 33.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.5% | – | 2.5% |
| 10 Dec 2025 | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 1,031 | 38.0% | 30.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 31.6% | 30.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | – | 3.1% |
| 3 Dec 2025 | 1 News–Verian | 1,007 | 35.0% | 36.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | – | 0.6% |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Roy Morgan | 829 | 28.0% | 33.0% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | – | 2.0% |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Talbot Mills | 1,000 | 38.0% | 33.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | – | 2.4% |
| 6 Nov 2025 | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 1,000 | 33.3% | 30.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | – | 3.3% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Roy Morgan | 857 | 30.5% | 32.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | – | 2.5% |
Pollsters: deviation from the average
| Pollster | Polls | Labour | National | Green | NZ First |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 16 | -1.8 | 0.0 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| Roy Morgan | 12 | -3.6 | +0.9 | +1.6 | -0.5 |
| 1 News–Verian | 9 | -0.7 | +1.6 | -0.2 | -0.6 |
| Talbot Mills | 8 | +1.9 | +0.5 | -1.2 | +0.9 |
| The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 5 | +1.1 | -0.3 | -1.1 | +0.9 |
| RNZ–Reid Research | 5 | +0.9 | +0.3 | -0.8 | +0.4 |
| Whakaata Māori–Curia | 3 | +2.7 | -4.1 | +2.3 | -0.6 |
A positive number means the pollster gives the party more, on average, than the local trend of other polls (percentage points, adjusted for the number of polls). You can switch on the adjustment in the chart.
Data sources 13 polling firms
All figures are results published by the polling firms themselves. The portal collects and checks them and weights the average by sample size. Objavljene ankete agencija, prikupljeno s Wikipedije.
Polling firms
- Taxpayers' Union–Curia16 anketa · 5 Oct 2026
- Roy Morgan12 anketa · 27 Sep 2026
- 1 News–Verian9 anketa · 19 Oct 2026
- Talbot Mills8 anketa · 11 Aug 2026
- The Post/Freshwater Strategy5 anketa · 19 Oct 2026
- RNZ–Reid Research5 anketa · 1 Oct 2026
- Whakaata Māori–Curia3 anketa · 15 Oct 2026
- Community Engagement Limited2 anketa · 12 Oct 2026
- Anacta2 anketa · 10 Oct 2026
- Mata–Horizon2 anketa · 9 Oct 2026
- Curia1 anketa · 28 Sep 2026
- Victor Consulting1 anketa · 19 Sep 2026
- PMN News–Horizon1 anketa · 13 Jul 2026
Compilations and official sources
Download data: CSV · JSON · All sources and methodology
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About the country
New Zealand (capital: Wellington). The national parliament is the House of Representatives. The last national election was held on 14 October 2023. The next election is scheduled for 7 November 2026.
This page shows the average of published opinion polls, the trend of party support over time and the list of individual polls with their sources.
- Capital
- Wellington
- Parliament
- House of Representatives
- Last election
- 14.10.2023
- Next election
- 07.11.2026
- Next election type
- General election
Frequently asked questions
Who is leading the polls in New Zealand?
According to the weighted average of recent polls, Labour (29.6%) is in first place, followed by National 27.8%, Green 15.7%, NZ First 9.4%. Last poll: 19.10.2026.
How many polls are included for New Zealand?
The page includes 67 published polls from 13 polling firms (Roy Morgan, Taxpayers' Union–Curia, Talbot Mills, 1 News–Verian, The Post/Freshwater Strategy, RNZ–Reid Research…), from 26.10.2025 to 19.10.2026.
Which party is gaining in New Zealand?
ACT gained the most (+0.3 points) compared with the previous 10 days, while Te Pāti Māori lost the most (-5.1).
When is the next election in New Zealand?
The next election (General election) is scheduled for 07.11.2026, in 12 days.
How is the poll average calculated?
Polls from the last 10 days are averaged, with newer polls and larger samples weighted more heavily; each pollster counts once. Full details are on the methodology page.